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What is the SOFR Rate, and How is it Calculated?

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a standard interest rate measuring the cost of overnight borrowing cash collateralized by US Treasury assets. It is a more honest and open replacement for the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), which was tarnished by a manipulation controversy. In this article, we will investigate the value of SOFR in the financial markets, its origins, how it differs from LIBOR and how it is calculated.


What is SOFR?

Due to the fact that SOFR is based on transactions, one can determine how much it would cost to borrow cash overnight. By virtue of the fact that US Treasury securities back it, it is less likely to change when the market does, in contrast to LIBOR, which was based on the estimates that banks themselves provided. When calculating SOFR, data from the United States Treasury repurchase (repo) market is used. This market is where transactions involving short-term borrowing and lending take place, and these transactions are collateralized by highly liquid securities such as government bonds.

30-, 90- and 180-day averages on the SOFR Rate from the New York FEDs website

Why Was SOFR Introduced?

SOFR was formed in response to the challenges generated by LIBOR manipulation. It highlights the need for a more open and credible standard. In 2017, the Alternative Reference Rates Committee (ARRC) suggested SOFR as the successor to the USD LIBOR. Unlike LIBOR, which involves term structure and credit risk, SOFR is an overnight rate with low risk as Treasury securities collateralize it.




How Does SOFR Differ from LIBOR?

Term Structure: LIBOR is a term rate, while SOFR is an overnight rate, meaning LIBOR reflects expectations about future interest rates, whereas SOFR does not.


Risk: LIBOR includes a bank credit risk premium because it represents unsecured lending, whereas SOFR is virtually risk-free due to its collateralization by Treasury securities.


Market Liquidity: LIBOR is affected by bank liquidity, whereas SOFR is influenced by liquidity in the Treasury markets.



How is the SOFR Rate Calculated?

The SOFR is calculated as a volume-weighted median of transaction-level data observed over the course of a business day. This data comes from the overnight repurchase agreements in the US Treasury repo market.


Example Calculation

Suppose there are three overnight repo transactions in the market with the following details:

Transaction Volume (USD)

Interest Rate (%)

500 million

1.20

300 million

1.15

200 million

1.25


Volume-Weighted Interest Rates: Calculate the volume-weighted interest rate for each transaction.

  • For the first transaction: 500×1.20=600

  • For the second transaction: 300×1.15=345

  • For the third transaction: 200×1.25=250

Total Volume: Sum the volumes of all transactions.

  • Total Volume = 500+300+200=1000


Weighted Sum of Interest Rates: Calculate the weighted sum of interest rates.

  • Weighted Sum = 600+345+250=1195


Volume-Weighted Median Rate: Calculate the volume-weighted median rate.

  • SOFR = Weighted Sum / Total Volume = 1195/1000=1.195%


However, in practice, the calculation involves a more complex process to ensure that the rate accurately reflects the market conditions. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York uses a strong method to figure out SOFR. This method includes getting rid of outliers and making sure that the rate is a good reflection of the market as a whole.



Who Publishes SOFR and Where to Find It?

SOFR Rate index from the New York FEDs website

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes the SOFR daily. You may access the daily SOFR rate on the New York Fed's website and other statistics, such as the SOFR Academy, which show averages over various periods.








Why Does SOFR Matter to Financial Markets?

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) plays a pivotal role in financial markets for several reasons, making it a crucial benchmark for various financial transactions. Here are some key reasons why SOFR matters:


1. Benchmarking and Pricing

Financial Products: SOFR serves as a benchmark for a wide range of financial products, including derivatives, loans, mortgages, and more. It helps in pricing these instruments by providing a transparent and reliable measure of the cost of borrowing.

Risk Management: By offering a stable and trustworthy benchmark, SOFR aids in risk management strategies. It allows financial institutions to assess better and manage their exposure to interest rate risks.


2. Market Stability and Efficiency

Transparency and Reliability: Unlike LIBOR, which was plagued by manipulation scandals, SOFR is based on actual transactions in the US Treasury repo market. This transparency and reliability contribute to market stability and efficiency.

Reduced Systemic Risk: By being based on real transactions rather than estimates, SOFR reduces the risk of manipulation and provides a more objective benchmark for financial markets.


3. Impact on Financial Instruments

Overnight Holding Costs: SOFR directly affects the overnight holding costs for financial instruments like CFDs (Contracts for Difference). Traders use SOFR to calculate these costs, which are essential for managing positions and assessing potential profits or losses.

Derivatives and Swaps: SOFR is used in pricing derivatives and interest rate swaps, which are critical tools for hedging and managing interest rate risks in financial markets.


4. Global Financial Landscape

Transition from LIBOR: The shift from LIBOR to SOFR has increased stability and transparency in the global financial landscape. This transition has been facilitated by fallback provisions and credit spread adjustments, ensuring a smoother adaptation for financial contracts.

Regulatory Support: The adoption of SOFR is supported by regulatory bodies and market participants worldwide, underscoring its importance as a reliable benchmark in the post-LIBOR era.


5. Signaling Market Conditions

Interbank Lending Health: SOFR reflects the health of the interbank lending market. A sudden spike in SOFR can signal a credit crunch or liquidity squeeze, which has significant implications for financial stability and economic growth.

Policy Implications: Central banks, like the Federal Reserve, monitor SOFR closely to gauge market conditions and make informed policy decisions. This includes interventions to maintain liquidity and stability during times of stress.



FAQ

Q: What is the best free resource for beginners in systematic trading?

A: A combination of podcasts, blogs and forums is the best, using all of these free resources is the best as they all have different valuable lessons. Here is our list of resources: https://www.algomatictrading.com/post/best-free-resources-for-learning-systematic-trading


Q: How much time should I dedicate to learning systematic trading?

A: As much as you can and have time to spend on it, there is no strict rule of how many hours you need to spend, but don't have any expectations that you are going to create or find a system and become profitable within days or months, systematic trading is something that you usually learn for years before you start to see some good performance, so you better start today:)


Q: Can I become profitable with just free resources? A: Of course you can, a lot of successful traders have reached profitability with free resources however if you want to speed up the learning process by expanding the variety of resources you can spend a few bucks on books.


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